Global Scenario Group

The Global Scenario Group was convened in 1995 by the Stockholm Environment Institute to engage a distinguished and diverse international group in an examination of the prospects for world development in the twenty-first century. Numerous studies at global, regional, and national levels have relied on the Group’s scenario framework and quantitative analysis.
The Global Scenario Group synthesized its findings for a non-technical audience in: Great Transition: The Promise and Lure of the Times Ahead
This path-breaking essay presents a fresh vision for a sustainable world. It describes the historic roots, current dynamics, future perils, and alternative pathways for world development. It advances one of these paths, Great Transition, as the preferred route, identifying strategies, agents of change, and values for a new global agenda.
The GSG’s research program continues through an expanded effort called the Great Transition Initiative, that takes the GSG’s scenarios as a point of departure in an effort to widely share a vision of hope and generate greater unity among global citizens.